Intelligence Community: U.S. will no longer be sole superpower by 2030


The intelligence community has come out with a new report which claims that the United States will not be the world’s only superpower by 2030.

Via Politico

“In terms of the indices of overall power – GDP, population size, military spending and technological investment – Asia will surpass North America and Europe combined,” the report concludes.

“Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds” — prepared by the office of the National Intelligence Council of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence — projects that the “unipolar” world that emerged after the fall of the Soviet Union will not continue.

“With the rapid rise of other countries, the ‘unipolar moment’ is over and no country – whether the U.S., China, or any other country – will be a hegemonic power,” the report argues.

“The United States’ relative economic decline vis-a-vis the rising states is inevitable and already occurring,but its future role in the international system is much harder to assess,” it argues.

“Global Trends” projects that the United States will retain a unique role in the international system — in part because of its history and past leadership.

“The U.S. most likely will remain ‘first among equals’ among the other great powers, due to the legacy of its leadership role in the world and the dominant role it has played in international politics across the board in both hard and soft power,” it argues.

And the intelligence community does believe the United States will be supplanted as the world’s only superpower by another country.

“The replacement of the United States by another global power and erection of a new international order seems the least likely outcome in this time period,” the report projects.

The report argues that rising powers like China, India and Brazil are not unified by any common ideology and are more focused on their regional role. And the report warns against the consequences of a U.S. withdrawal from the world’s stage.

“A collapse or sudden retreat of US power would most likely result in an extended period of global anarchy,” it argues.

Posted on December 10, 2012, in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. 5 Comments.

  1. Pierre-Yves St-Onge

    This articles both has elements of truth, and of humour in it. The sole superpower status of the United States is not a natural state and will probably be challenged in the future. That is normal in the course of history.

    But that it should be so feared is amusing. That it will result in a period of global anarchy is fear-mongering at its best. Is it the same people that tell us that any reduction in the power of government will result in chaos, poverty and ruin? One wonders how humanity has managed to survive before the rise of the American Empire in the late 19th century/early 20th century.

    Considering that in about every conflict or crisis in the world, one can see a part played (good or bad) by US interventionism, one has to be very cynical to think that the potential lessening of this interventionism will result in more problems. Or maybe just willing blindness… one thing is sure is that this interventionism teaches us consistently about the law of unintended consequences!

  2. Gary W. Golden Sr.

    Here’s a flash! We are not a super power NOW! Look around!

  3. replica intricate details. Talk about the ultimate snobby summer tote! I know many of you will protest about the lack of functionality of a bag full of holes but thin

  1. Pingback: The (alas) coming decline and fall of America

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